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Type: Posts; User: GrussGott

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  1. one of the interesting outliers in all of this is...

    one of the interesting outliers in all of this is Japan - they don't seem to be following any of the standard moves (shelter-in-place, mass testing, quarantine, etc), yet the outbreak seems under...
  2. Yeah, to add to this, I've gotten interested in...

    Yeah, to add to this, I've gotten interested in "super-spreaders" which seems to invalidate the notion of "R0" (r-naught), i.e., that 1 person spreads to ~2.4 ... While R0 for cv19 might have...
  3. I'm hearing from a lot of infectious disease...

    I'm hearing from a lot of infectious disease experts and none of them have positive things to say about WHO, starting with the fact that WHO botched the red alert when the virus was first detected;...
  4. Yeah, I carry/wear a buff around for more casual...

    Yeah, I carry/wear a buff around for more casual situations where I might want to pull it on...

    There's a british company that makes a "snood" with an antiviral coating on it that could be a...
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    Great work! Hopefully you can share more...

    Great work! Hopefully you can share more pictures and even get them out there on instagram/twitter to inspire others!
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    So glad you're doing this! Yes, any type of mask...

    So glad you're doing this! Yes, any type of mask can help protect you, in fact 100% cotton is surprisingly effective!

    The reason is because of how air flows through a confined space: if there are...
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    I completely agree with you that nobody should be...

    I completely agree with you that nobody should be hoarding new masks of any sort (or TP or groceries or anything for that matter)!

    That said, I understand "N95+ mask" might seem purely medical to...
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    However it's a bit of pickle: * On the one...

    However it's a bit of pickle:

    * On the one hand, an N95+ mask will definitely both help protect you, and protect others if you go out (this is according to infectious disease specialists who've...
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    I'm going to add one more chart from Andy...

    I'm going to add one more chart from Andy Slavitt, who I recommend you follow on Twitter, I've worked with him in the healthcare industry and he's very well informed:

    24496

    The message here is...
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    Here's a slightly different view from Vox, which...

    Here's a slightly different view from Vox, which I think supports b1gsky's point that it's early days and without testing we kind of don't know - that said, we're looking like both SK and Italy...
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    The reason is probably analogous to, say,...

    The reason is probably analogous to, say, homeowner's fire insurance: one has no idea if their house is going sustain fire damage, but one chooses to pay for coverage anyway, even though they don't...
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    I'll add that the human brain is almost incapable...

    I'll add that the human brain is almost incapable of intuitively understanding exponential growth - one has to do the intellectual work of mapping it to understand:


    Example: The tale of a...
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    For me I'm typically a 2-bag person which is why...

    For me I'm typically a 2-bag person which is why the WF is so great - that means usually an S25 as a backpack and the WF as a shoulder bag. Many times for personal travel the WF is my preferred day...
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    My go-to is either the DLBP for casual/business...

    My go-to is either the DLBP for casual/business casual travel or the Eagle Creek Medium folder for business travel:

    The DLBP sacrifices a little space at the top, but makes a great packing cube,...
  15. I'll add something I recently bought and it's...

    I'll add something I recently bought and it's giving me so much joy, I have to share it, albeit for a niche group: veterans of The Struggle.

    The Struggle is when you share a bed and your...
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    Very important point: Dr. Osterholm is saying the...

    Very important point: Dr. Osterholm is saying the current data shows the primary transmission vector is breathing, and he's telling you that so you understand how to alter your behavior.

    That is,...
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    Well, i've worked in national healthcare for 15...

    Well, i've worked in national healthcare for 15 years and sat in meetings with Dr Osterholm and the only thing I've ever heard any medical director, epidemiologist, infectious disease specialist, or...
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    Yeah, we usually do this for all intra-europe...

    Yeah, we usually do this for all intra-europe flights both due to the luggage allowance and also because of the lesser confusion for us who aren't used to the process and/or don't speak the primary...
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    If you don't know Dr. Osterholm, he's spent his...

    If you don't know Dr. Osterholm, he's spent his entire multi-decade career studying these very diseases and here's his view (my summary):

    (1.) COVID19 is primarily transmissible by breathing, so...
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    As a former engineer, I can say with absolute...

    As a former engineer, I can say with absolute sincerity, what's "documentation"??
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    Favorite color: Iberian Red!

    Favorite color: Iberian Red!
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    If this helps, here's what I hear the American...

    If this helps, here's what I hear the American Hospital Association is preparing for, 2020 CV19 vs 2019 Flu:

    2020 COVID vs 2019 Flu
    96M vs 35.5M infections
    4.8M vs 490k hospitalizations
    1.9M vs...
  23. I have lots of shoe thoughts! : ) Here are some...

    I have lots of shoe thoughts! : ) Here are some of my travel shoes ...

    For city touring on foot :backpack:
    I'm also using ASICS for my travel city shoe - I just bought a pair of Gel Nimbus 21s...
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    I had this exact same problem, and bizarrely the...

    I had this exact same problem, and bizarrely the Western Flyer was the bag I turned to even though it's way smaller!

    So that brings up the first question, which is, what is your packing style? ...
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    That's awesome! And should be the standard ... ...

    That's awesome! And should be the standard ...

    FWIW, I can say in France, at Airbus, at least in the 2000s they did this and it worked great. They had people part-time shadowing their key folks...
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